400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA 15096-0001 U.S.A. Tel: (724) 776-4841 Fax: (724) 776-5760 SAE TECHNICAL PAPER SERIES 2002-01-0628 Aggregating Technologies for Reduced Fuel Consumption: A Review of the Technical Content in the 2002 National Research Council Report on CAFE Kenneth J. Patton, Aaron M. Sullivan, Rodney B. Rask and Mark A. Theobald General Motors Corporation SAE 2002 World Congress Detroit, Michigan March 4-7, 2002Downloaded from SAE International by Purdue University, Sunday, August 19, 2018The appearance of this I SSN code at the bottom of this page indicates SAE’s co nsent that copies of the paper may be made for personal or internal use of spec ific clients. This consent is given on the condition, however, that the copier pay a per article copy fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. Operations Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923 for copying beyond that permitted by Sections 107 or108 of the U.S. Copyright Law. This consent does not extend to other kinds of copying such as copying forgeneral distribution, for advertising or promotional purposes, for creating new collective works, or forresale. Quantity reprint rates can be obtained from the Customer Sales and Satisfaction Department.To request permission to reprint a technical paper or permission to use copyrighted SAE publications in other works, contact the SAE Publications Group. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form, in an electronic retrieval system or otherwise, without the prior wr itten permission of the publisher. ISSN 0148-7191 Copyright © 2002 Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc. Positions and opinions advanced in this paper are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of SAE. The author is solely responsible for the content of the paper. A process is available by whic h discussions will be printed with the paper if it is p ublished in SAE Transactions. For permission to publish this paper in full or in part, contact the SAE Publications Group. Persons wishing to submit papers to be c onsidered for presentation or publication thr ough SAE should send the manuscript or a 3 00 word abstract of a proposed manuscript to: Secretary, Engineering Meetings Board, SAE. Printed in USAAll SAE papers, standards, and selected books are abstracted and indexed in theGlobal Mobility DatabaseDownloaded from SAE International by Purdue University, Sunday, August 19, 20182002-01-0628 Aggregating Technologies for Reduced Fuel Consumption: A Review of the Technical Content in the 2002 National Research Council Report on CAFE Kenneth J. Patton, Aaron M. Sullivan, Rodney B. Rask and Mark A. Theobald General Motors Corporation Copyright © 2002 Society of Automotive Engineers, Inc. ABSTRACT The National Research Council (NRC) recently published a report entitled “Effectiveness and Impact of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards” intended to help U.S. policymakers in the formulation of CAFE policy. In the Report, the NRC projects fuel consumption reductions from the application of a wide range of engine, transmission, and vehicle technologies. The Report employs a simple multiplicative method to aggregate the effects of multiple technologies on fuel consumption. In this paper, a basic energy balance calculation is used to examine the NRC results against theoretical limits. Theoretical limits are calculated using measured and simulated breakdowns of system energy losses incurred during vehicle operation on EPA driving cycles. This analysis demonstrates the inherently optimistic results produced by simple aggregation methodologies. Methods for enhancing the accuracy of the technology-aggregation process are proposed. INTRODUCTION The recently issued National Research Council (NRC) report on Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) [1], hereafter referred to as the Report, is intended to serve as information helpful to U.S. policymakers in the formulation of CAFE policy. According to the charter issu